Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.232146 0.267203 0.304899 0.348341 0.396919 0.449456 0.510462
2026-02-01 0.172794 0.219355 0.273527 0.340771 0.421527 0.514894 0.630476
2026-02-08 0.131695 0.183581 0.248597 0.334986 0.445568 0.581090 0.758286
2026-02-15 0.101562 0.154975 0.226799 0.328463 0.466360 0.644341 0.888425
2026-02-22 0.082902 0.137615 0.216108 0.333700 0.501533 0.728053 1.051549
2026-03-01 0.066148 0.119379 0.200743 0.329449 0.522156 0.793226 1.194913
2026-03-08 0.054167 0.105872 0.189756 0.329277 0.547440 0.865850 1.353298
2026-03-15 0.043778 0.092683 0.176835 0.323775 0.563247 0.925094 1.496048
2026-03-22 0.038527 0.087422 0.175909 0.336877 0.608372 1.030436 1.712948
2026-03-29 0.034076 0.082681 0.174978 0.349468 0.653293 1.138102 1.939779
2026-04-05 0.029064 0.075674 0.168723 0.351707 0.680755 1.219704 2.130876
2026-04-12 0.024573 0.068717 0.161358 0.350746 0.702140 1.292329 2.311450
2026-04-19 0.020610 0.062095 0.153753 0.348657 0.721806 1.364349 2.497206
2026-04-26 0.017342 0.056308 0.146898 0.347067 0.742045 1.438534 2.690921
2026-05-03 0.014568 0.051025 0.140203 0.344834 0.760650 1.510859 2.885484
2026-05-10 0.012119 0.045902 0.132934 0.340351 0.774282 1.574982 3.069329
2026-05-17 0.010667 0.043260 0.131051 0.347116 0.810327 1.681214 3.331449
2026-05-24 0.008937 0.039195 0.124906 0.343548 0.825104 1.749233 3.529561
2026-05-31 0.007642 0.036125 0.120731 0.343876 0.847710 1.832871 3.759499
2026-06-07 0.006343 0.032554 0.114506 0.338473 0.857583 1.892701 3.948899
2026-06-14 0.005841 0.031823 0.116095 0.352268 0.909809 2.036829 4.299944
2026-06-21 0.005367 0.031041 0.117399 0.365464 0.961650 2.182823 4.660747
2026-06-28 0.004664 0.029023 0.114627 0.367864 0.989484 2.282691 4.939047